UseLogic 2012 US Open Tennis Picks

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The US Open is upon us so let's let the players make us some money. For accounting purposes, each play is 1 unit each. There are so many matches in the 1st round and unless you have locker room info, it's hard to determine how the players will play. I can only go by past and recent performances.

8/27/12
11am: Samantha Stosur vs Petra Martic
This year, Petra has beaten on hard courts: Jelena Jankovic, Shuai Peng; lost in 3 sets to Lucie Safarova, and on clay, lost to Stosur in a close 3-setter. For defending US Open champ Stosur, 5 out of her last 7 matches has gone 3 sets. I see this to be a close affair and could go 3 sets or at least a 6-4, 6-3 score.

P.Martic Games Won/S.Stosur Games Won* Over 18½ (-123)

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11am: Lukas Lacko vs James Blake
Both of these guys play very close sets and this could go 5. I see a 6-3, 4-6, 6-4, 7-6 match.

L.Lacko Games Won/J.Blake Games Won* Over 37½ (-115)

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12:30PM M.Oudin vs L.Safarova
Safarova has too much weapons against Oudin: 6-2, 6-3

M.Oudin Games Won/L.Safarova Games Won* Under 18½ (-108)


2:30PM M.Sharapova vs M.Czink
Sharapova hasn't played since the Olympics and Czink played some close sets against good opponents: 6-2, 6-3.

M.Sharapova Games Won/M.Czink Games Won* Over 16½ (-120)

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8/27/12 Early Results: 2-2 (-43)
P.Martic Games Won/S.Stosur Games Won* Over 18½ (-123) - l
L.Lacko Games Won/J.Blake Games Won* Over 37½ (-115) - w
M.Oudin Games Won/L.Safarova Games Won* Under 18½ (-108) - w
M.Sharapova Games Won/M.Czink Games Won* Over 16½ (-120) - l

Night Action:
I have a feeling Duval will get a few games off Kim: 6-2, 6-2:

V.Duval Games Won* +8½ (-125) vs K.Clijsters Games Won

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8/27/12 Early Results: 2-2 (-43)
P.Martic Games Won/S.Stosur Games Won* Over 18½ (-123) - l
L.Lacko Games Won/J.Blake Games Won* Over 37½ (-115) - w
M.Oudin Games Won/L.Safarova Games Won* Under 18½ (-108) - w
M.Sharapova Games Won/M.Czink Games Won* Over 16½ (-120) - l

Night Action Results: 1-0 (+100)
V.Duval Games Won* +8½ (-125) vs K.Clijsters Games Won - w

Day 1 Results: 3-2 (+57)

Off to a good start, till tomorrow!
 

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YTD: 3-2 (+57)

8/28/12
Coco Vandeweghe vs Serena Williams
Serena's last 3 matches lasted 19 games and above. Vandeweghe has played tight matches and her last 3 losses were above 20 games. I see 6-3, 6-3.

C.Vandeweghe Games Won/S.Williams Games Won* Over 17 (-135)


Angelique Kerber vs Anne Keothavong
Kerber's last 12 hardcourt matches has been 18 games and above. Keothanvong's last 3 matches on hardcourts have gone 3 sets and this year, a match in Denmark against Kerber also went 3 sets. I wouldn't be surprised if this goes 3 sets: 6-3, 3-6, 6-3.

A.Kerber Games Won/A.Keothavong Games Won* Over 17 (-116)

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Christina McHale vs Kiki Bertens
Mchale loves to play close matches and Bertens had a good hardcourt season so far. At the French Open, they went 3 sets with Mchale coming out on top. Both retired from their last match so barring any retirement, I expect another close match. 6-4, 4-6, 6-3.

C.Mchale Games Won/K.Bertens Games Won* Over 20.5 (-108)

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8/28/12 Results: 1-2 (-151)
C.Vandeweghe Games Won/S.Williams Games Won* Over 17 (-135) - l
A.Kerber Games Won/A.Keothavong Games Won* Over 17 (-116) - l

C.Mchale Games Won/K.Bertens Games Won* Over 20.5 (-108) - w

YTD: 4-4 (-94)

8/30/12
P.Andujar Games Won/F.Lopez Games Won* Over 38 (-128)

I see 5 sets written all over this match: 6-4, 3-6, 7-6, 6-2, 6-4

T.Smyczek Games Won/K.Nishikori Games Won* Over 35 (-110)
Smyczek has won 2 of 3 against Nishikori and this can go 4 sets min. 6-3, 4-6, 7-6, 6-2.
 

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No more long write-ups since I seem to lose when I do that. Short and sweet will win me the treat!

G.Voskoboeva Games Won/A.Hlavackova Games Won* Over 21 -120
Two evenly matched players usually means a 3 setter. 6-4, 6-4, 6-4.

D.Cibulkova Games Won/B.Jovanovski Games Won* Over 19½ -120
I see a 6-4, 6-4 match in this one.

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M.Fish Games Won/N.Davydenko Games Won* Over 34½ (-122)
This shouldn't be a sweep and should go at least 4 sets. 6-3, 4-6, 6-4, 7-5.

C.Suarez Navarro Games Won/A.Radwanska Games Won* Under 18 (-135)
Radwanska should take this in straight set: 6-2, 6-3.

M.Martinez Sanchez Games Won/S.Williams Games Won* Under 16 (+100)
Serena a bit too powerful for Sanchez: 6-1, 6-2.

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J.Konta Games Won/O.Govortsova Games Won Over 20 (-110)
I see a tight match between the two and could even go 3 sets: 7-5, 6-4.
 

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A.Ramos Games Won/F.Verdasco Games Won* Over 34½ (-145)
This could be a classic Verdasco 5 setter: 6-4, 5-7, 4-6, 6-4, 6-3.

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V.Dushevina Games Won/S.Errani Games Won Over 18½ (-120)
This could be a close match: 6-4, 6-3.

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A.Kerber Games Won/V.Williams Games Won* Over 21½ (-125)
Looking forward to a tight close match: 7-5, 6-4.

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8/30/12 Results: 7-4 (+2.35 units)
P.Andujar Games Won/F.Lopez Games Won* Over 38 (-128) - w
T.Smyczek Games Won/K.Nishikori Games Won* Over 35 (-110) - l
G.Voskoboeva Games Won/A.Hlavackova Games Won* Over 21 -120 - w
D.Cibulkova Games Won/B.Jovanovski Games Won* Over 19½ -120 - w
M.Fish Games Won/N.Davydenko Games Won* Over 34½ (-122) - w
C.Suarez Navarro Games Won/A.Radwanska Games Won* Under 18 (-135) - l
M.Martinez Sanchez Games Won/S.Williams Games Won* Under 16 (+100) - l
J.Konta Games Won/O.Govortsova Games Won Over 20 (-110) - w
A.Ramos Games Won/F.Verdasco Games Won* Over 34½ (-145) - w
V.Dushevina Games Won/S.Errani Games Won Over 18½ (-120) - l
A.Kerber Games Won/V.Williams Games Won* Over 21½ (-125) - w

YTD: 11-8 (+1.41 units)

8/31/20
I.Sijsling Games Won/D.Ferrer Games Won Under 29½ (-140)
Ferrer should win this in straight sets: 6-3, 6-4, 6-4



 

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N.Li Games Won/L.Robson Games Won* Under 19½ (-120)
Robson should have a letdown after beating Clijsters. I look for Li to win 6-3, 6-4.

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